{"adr_sha256":"1bd75421d340cc3e4babbbb448d91283d478b3eec96b08eef5f70f2c98bdb8c7","effective":"2026-10-01T07:00:00Z","rehearsal_head":"7286547c5f05e271b993008d2e7e47ddddb07751cf7b309b6cd48abac45084d8","type":"genesis"}
{"ambiguity_test":{"agree":[20,20,20],"readings_per_scenario":20},"b":82,"base_rate_reason":"Mistral has announced a new named partner or customer roughly every few weeks in 2026, so a 6-month window is very likely to include at least one qualifying deal.","base_rate_statement":"No reference class is claimed.","base_rate_type":"JUDGMENT","claim":"On or before 2027-03-30, Mistral AI will publicly announce a new named enterprise customer or partner that meets at least one disclosed scale criterion (1,000+ employees, a national/public-sector entity, a deal value of $10M USD or more, or a multi-year/multi-country deployment agreement).","deadline":"2027-03-30T23:59:00-07:00","exclusions":["Expansions, renewals, or follow-on announcements involving Samsung, ESA, or the Moroccan government deals already on record","Rumors, leaks, or unconfirmed reports without a named organization","Anonymous references such as 'a Fortune 500 company' without a disclosed name","Academic or research-only collaborations without a commercial or institutional contract","Reseller, marketplace, or integration listings without a disclosed value or named entity meeting the scale criteria","Internal hiring, advisory board additions, or investor-only relationships"],"p":85,"registered_at":"2026-10-01T20:44:11Z","rule":"Resolves YES if, between 2026-10-01 and 2027-03-30T23:59:00-07:00, Mistral AI's official blog/press page (mistral.ai) or a named outlet (Reuters, Bloomberg, Financial Times, CNBC, TechCrunch, The Information) publishes a dated report naming a new enterprise customer or partner organization not already disclosed before 2026-10-01 (excludes Samsung, ESA, Morocco government, and the Munich hub partners), where the entity or deal meets at least one of: 1,000+ global employees, national/public-sector status, disclosed contract value of $10M USD or more, or a stated multi-year/multi-country deployment. The report must name the organization explicitly and confirm an active commercial or institutional relationship with Mistral. Anything else, including unconfirmed rumors or anonymized references, resolves NO.","sources":["mistral.ai/news","Reuters (reuters.com)","Bloomberg (bloomberg.com)","Financial Times (ft.com)","CNBC (cnbc.com)","TechCrunch (techcrunch.com)","The Information (theinformation.com)"],"type":"registration"}
{"anchors_hash":"60eb50cfc1032389791de96d5a83544441b756317516563cf5fea78ce8390850","anchors_seq":2,"date_pt":"2026-10-01","ots_proof":"anchors/2026-10-01.txt.ots","repo_commit":"https://github.com/soto-hq/soto-anchors/commit/55ec2024562bd4426578e7bee9b2db1c5cdc652c","type":"anchor","x_post":"https://x.com/sotosignals/status/2105914873053913301"}
{"ambiguity_test":{"agree":[20,20,20],"readings_per_scenario":20},"b":35,"base_rate_reason":"Companies rarely issue explicit public reaffirmations of unchanged pricing within a two-week window unless prompted by a price change rumor or complaint.","base_rate_statement":"No reference class is claimed.","base_rate_type":"JUDGMENT","claim":"By Oct 16, 2026, ElevenLabs will have publicly stated, on or before that date, that the Eleven v4 API remains priced at $22 per million characters after Oct 12, 2026.","deadline":"2026-10-16T23:59:00-07:00","exclusions":["Enterprise, custom, or negotiated pricing agreements","Pricing for a new model, tier, or renamed version of v4","Third-party or unofficial reporting of pricing","Archived or unchanged pricing pages lacking a dated post-Oct 12 confirmation"],"p":12,"registered_at":"2026-10-02T18:07:31Z","rule":"Resolves YES only if, on or before 2026-10-16T23:59:00-07:00, ElevenLabs' official pricing page, its official blog, or its verified X account explicitly states that standard Eleven v4 API pricing is $22 per million characters effective after Oct 12, 2026. The statement must reference the standard self-serve API rate, not enterprise, custom, or negotiated pricing, and must not describe a new model, renamed tier, or different per-character rate. Silence, inferred continuity, archived pricing pages without a dated confirmation, or third-party reporting does not qualify. Absence of any such statement by the deadline resolves NO.","sources":["https://elevenlabs.io/pricing","https://elevenlabs.io/blog","https://x.com/elevenlabsio"],"type":"registration"}
{"ambiguity_test":{"agree":[20,20,20],"readings_per_scenario":20},"b":10,"base_rate_reason":"OpenAI rarely publishes granular add-on pricing for a brand-new feature within one month of its consumer launch.","base_rate_statement":"No reference class is claimed.","base_rate_type":"JUDGMENT","claim":"By October 31, 2026, OpenAI publicly publishes a specific price (dollar amount, rate, or credit cost) for additional Dots usage or for Dots-related compute beyond what existing ChatGPT subscription plans include.","deadline":"2026-10-31T23:59:00-07:00","exclusions":["Enterprise or partner contracts with non-public pricing","Rumors, leaks, or unnamed-source reports","Statements only describing Dots features without a numeric price","Any pricing announcement made before October 2, 2026","Third-party speculation or analyst estimates not sourced to OpenAI"],"p":6,"registered_at":"2026-10-02T18:07:33Z","rule":"Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-10-31T23:59:00-07:00, OpenAI's own website, pricing page, or help center publishes a specific numeric price, rate, or credit cost for extra Dots usage or Dots compute beyond stated plan allowances, OR a tier-1 outlet (e.g., The Verge, NYT, WSJ, Reuters, Bloomberg, TechCrunch) publishes an article quoting or citing that OpenAI-sourced price. The statement must include a concrete figure (e.g., dollars, credits, or per-unit rate), not a vague reference to 'future pricing' or 'paid tiers.' Anything else, including statements made before October 2, 2026, resolves NO.","sources":["openai.com/pricing","help.openai.com (OpenAI Help Center)","theverge.com","nytimes.com","wsj.com","reuters.com","bloomberg.com","techcrunch.com"],"type":"registration"}